Juvenile Crime: Crime Rates

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1996)
Current social trends do little to contradict the dire predictions made
about youth crime rates. Nearly all the factors that contribute to youth crime
-- single-parent households, child abuse, deteriorating inner-city schools --
are getting worse. At the same time, government is doing less (spending less)
to help break the cycle of poverty and crime.
Predicting a generation¹s future crime pattern is, of course, risky.
Especially when outside factors remain unpredictable (Will drug use be up or
down? Will gun laws be tightened?). Also, from year to year, crime rates can
fluctuate much like the stock market. What goes up generally comes down, and
what goes down generally comes back up.
It is probably no surprise to hear that crime rates among juveniles vary
across race (structural limitations/discrimination, self-fulfilling prophecy,
etc.). Minorities, especially Blacks, have a higher arrest rate for violent
crimes (per 100,000) than Whites. Black males age 15 - 25, ...

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